Bets and Bids: Favorite-Longshot Bias and Winner's Curse
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
The Timing of Bets and the Favorite-Longshot Bias
We propose a dynamic model of parimutuel betting that addresses the following three empirical regularities: a sizeable fraction of bets is placed early, late bets are more informative than early bets, and proportionally too many bets are placed on longshots. Exploiting a similarity with Cournot oligopoly, we show that bettors have an incentive to bet early when they are large and act on common ...
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In betting markets, the expected return on longshot bets tends to be systematically lower than on favorite bets. This favorite-longshot bias is a widely documented empirical fact, often perceived to be an important deviation from the market efficiency hypothesis. This chapter presents an overview of the main theoretical explanations for this bias proposed in the literature. ∗London Business Sch...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 1997
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2053